The insight from financial history is that we’ve endured the “displacement” and are only now entering the “boom.” The “mania” phase lies well ahead.
ECONOMY
The NeverEnding Inflation Story
Everything we see at a micro level points to a more subdued inflation outlook than a durable shift above target in the inflation trend.
ECONOMY
The Fed’s Humanitarian Mission
Under the compulsions of a new cultural milieu, it will take years for the Fed to meet their broad-based and inclusive employment goals.
ECONOMY
The Anguish of Central Banking
The Fed did not abort the Great Inflation because it was caught up in the philosophical and political currents that were transforming American life and culture.
ECONOMY
Welcome to the YOLO Economy
Blaming the slower payrolls recovery on the supplemental unemployment benefits misses the bigger picture. The labor shortage could persist for years.
SLACK
Community Wisdom: Sell cleverness and buy bewilderment
We continue the conversation daily in our members-only Slack group. Here’s a summary of the most helpful insights gained from the community last month.
STOCKS
Is the bull market dying?
Financial markets are simply adjusting to a new rate hike cycle. That is all there is to it. The bull market will soon enter its third and perhaps final stage.
CURRENCIES
Keep calm and carry trade
Since the early 1970s, Fed rate hikes have coincided with the dollar weakening. We’re bullish on the euro and EM carry trades.
